Eurobank weekly econ bulletin – Continuing energy crisis, pandemic may continue to fuel inflation

A continuing energy crisis longer than current forecasts, as well as unpredictable factors associated with the still active pandemic and its negative repercussions on supply, may drastically affect the projections for rising inflation, according to the weekly economic bulletin by Eurobank.

Nevertheless, one factor that may “brake” rising inflation in the Greek economy, at least in the short term, is a positive convergence between the current and real unemployment rate.

The systemic bank’s analysts also cite a same-day publication by the Greek statistical authority, which states that the unemployment rate for the Jan-Oct 2021 period was recorded at 15.2 percent (13.3 percent in the month of October 2021), with the real unemployment percentage – as calculated by the European Commission – below which inflation is boosted being 12.5 percent.

The same figure is greater than the corresponding one for the Eurozone (7.3 percent) and the EU27 (6.6 percent).